posted by richzubaty on Jul 15
[The Rude Guy Podcast #59 July 15, 2009]
This is Rich Zubaty, the Rude Guy. Its time for us to learn something about Afghanistan. I just saw the movie Kite Runner. Best movie I’ve seen in decades. But it made me remember, we have now had U.S. troops in Afghanistan for 8 years, twice as long as World War Two, and two years less than Vietnam So…I ordered a half dozen library books on Afghanistan and started reading. Which is what I do, and what this podcast is about. While you’re off doing your job, working to pay your rent, I’m living in my car so I don’t have to pay any rent, which gives me the time to go to the library, to learn about things, and then make podcasts about them, for you. Here’s what I found out.
Afghanistan. A country the size of Texas, is one and a half times the size of Iraq, with a million more people. Afghanistan is cut in half by the Hindu Kush mountains running east to west, with the capital city of Kabul, and the Bagram air base, plopped down on the main north/south pass through the mountains.
Estimated population: 32 million
Afghani soldiers: 140,000
U.S. and European “coalition” troops: 60,000
Total allied troops: 200,000
Taliban enemy combatants: 20,000
Stop right there.
20,000 Taliban… 200,000 well-equipped modern soldiers are fighting 20,000 guys with rifles and pickup trucks? For eight years? Twice as long as World War Two?…In a nation of 32 million people, which has supposedly been held hostage by these 20,000 extremists, for what? 15 years? That makes one Taliban for every one thousand six hundred Afghani people. In military circles it’s the rule of thumb, that it takes one soldier per forty people, to control a population. In other words, in Afghanistan, there are 40 TIMES more people, than the Taliban soldiers could effectively control. Yes, the Taliban used to run the country until we kicked them out. But the Taliban were never militarily in control. They led by religious example.
Sixty years ago Chairman Mao said: war is not a military act, war is a political action. Which means, if the people are not on your side, you can never ever win. No matter how much territory you take in the daylight, at night it reverts back to the enemy. If the people perceive you as invaders, you can never ever win. In this war, in Afghanistan, the Taliban are not the foreign invaders…WE are. We can never ever win.
The Afghani people do not trust us any more than they trusted the Russians. They view us as blue-eyed, black-skinned foot soldiers of a bastard religion. Careless, ruthless imperialists, who want to use their country as a military camp, and air base, to control the oil and gas of the Central Asian Republics, just north of Afghanistan.
The main thing we’ve achieved in Afghanistan is to drive the Taliban across the border into Pakistan and cause the evacuation of over a million Pakistanis from the Swat Valley. Total military fuck up.
There is no military solution to the war in Afghanistan, because the war in Afghanistan is not a war. Like Vietnam, it’s a police action, fought house to house, through the kitchens and back yards of a hostile population.
Only the Afghani and Pakistani people can win this conflict. Our new commander in Afghanistan, General McChrystal, wisely said: we have to get the Afghani people on our side. Unquote. He’s right, but this is eight years later. What the hell have we been doing there for the last 8 years? Pissing off the locals, killing their moms and sisters in accidental air strikes, and creating yet more maddened Taliban recruits. It’s the same disastrous policy that made it impossible for us to win in Vietnam. The locals hate us.
We need to supply the Afghanis with whatever they need to fight the Taliban, help them rebuild schools and hospitals and irrigation systems, declare victory, and get the fuck out. Right now! The sooner the better.
But hey! Who cares about the Afghanis? Fuck them. The real question is. What’s happening to us? What’s this war doing to us?
We pay $775,000 dollars per year, to keep one US solider in Afghanistan. Three quarters of a million dollars, per soldier, per year.
Obama just shoved through a $105 billion dollar supplemental spending bill to pay for our two wars. We spend $185 Billion dollars a year on war.
Of that we lose 40 to 50% of our money to sleazy subcontractors. Middle men of middle men of middle men, who do nothing for the war except pass along contracts and profiteer from them.
The long term cost of the Afghan war has been estimated to be $3 trillion dollars, according to Linda J. Blimes, author of…. the Three Trillion Dollar War.
And here’s what really sucks…we’ve just been told that Obama’s health care plan will cost too much: one trillion dollars over ten years. That’s $100 billion dollars a year. But we’re paying $185 billion dollars a year for war in Asia.
In other words, we can either have health care for all Americans, or unwinnable and unending war in Asia.
It’s a no-brainer. Why are we even arguing about this? Stop the war now and give us health care. Period. Read the rest of this entry »